Morgan, M. Granger  1941- <br/><br/>
Uncertainty :  a guide to dealing with uncertainty in quantitative risk and policy analysis / 
M. Granger Morgan and Max Henrion ; with a chapter by Mitchell Small. 
 - Cambridge ;  New York :  Cambridge University Press,  1990. 
 - xii, 332 p. :  ill. ;  24 m. 
<br/><br/>Includes bibliographical references and index. 
<br/><br/>Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. Recent milestones; 3. An  overview of quantitative policy analysis; 4. The nature  and sources of uncertainty; 5. Probability distributions  and statistical estimation; 6. Human judgement about and  with uncertainty; 7. Performing probability assessment;  8. The propagation and analysis of uncertainty; 9. The  graphic communication of uncertainty; 10. Analytica: a  software tool for uncertainty analysis; 11. Large and  complex models; 12. The value of knowing how little you  know; Index.       
<br/><br/><label>ISBN: </label>0521365422 
<br/><br/><label>LCCN: </label>89022404 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Topical Terms: </label><br/>Policy sciences--Mathematical models.<br/>Risk--Mathematical models.<br/>Uncertainty--Mathematical models.
<br/><br/><label>Dewey Class. No.: </label>361.6/1/0151