TY  - BOOK
AU  - Morgan,M.Granger
AU  - Henrion,Max
AU  - Small,Mitchell J.
TI  - Uncertainty: a guide to dealing with uncertainty in quantitative risk and policy analysis 
SN  - 0521365422
U1  - 361.6/1/0151 20
PY  - 1990///
CY  - Cambridge, New York
PB  - Cambridge University Press
KW  - Policy sciences
KW  - Mathematical models
KW  - Risk
KW  - Uncertainty
N1  - Includes bibliographical references and index; Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. Recent milestones; 3. An  overview of quantitative policy analysis; 4. The nature  and sources of uncertainty; 5. Probability distributions  and statistical estimation; 6. Human judgement about and  with uncertainty; 7. Performing probability assessment;  8. The propagation and analysis of uncertainty; 9. The  graphic communication of uncertainty; 10. Analytica: a  software tool for uncertainty analysis; 11. Large and  complex models; 12. The value of knowing how little you  know; Index
ER  -