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Uncertainty : a guide to dealing with uncertainty in quantitative risk and policy analysis / M. Granger Morgan and Max Henrion ; with a chapter by Mitchell Small.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextPublication details: Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, 1990.Description: xii, 332 p. : ill. ; 24 mISBN:
  • 0521365422
Subject(s): DDC classification:
  • 361.6/1/0151 20
Contents:
Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. Recent milestones; 3. An overview of quantitative policy analysis; 4. The nature and sources of uncertainty; 5. Probability distributions and statistical estimation; 6. Human judgement about and with uncertainty; 7. Performing probability assessment; 8. The propagation and analysis of uncertainty; 9. The graphic communication of uncertainty; 10. Analytica: a software tool for uncertainty analysis; 11. Large and complex models; 12. The value of knowing how little you know; Index.
Holdings
Cover image Item type Current library Home library Collection Shelving location Call number Materials specified Vol info URL Copy number Status Notes Date due Barcode Item holds Item hold queue priority Course reserves
Main RTC Library Main opac Main TEST 361.6 MOR Available 30012555
Total holds: 0

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. Recent milestones; 3. An overview of quantitative policy analysis; 4. The nature and sources of uncertainty; 5. Probability distributions and statistical estimation; 6. Human judgement about and with uncertainty; 7. Performing probability assessment; 8. The propagation and analysis of uncertainty; 9. The graphic communication of uncertainty; 10. Analytica: a software tool for uncertainty analysis; 11. Large and complex models; 12. The value of knowing how little you know; Index.

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